Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 6.860370 7.554163 8.294354 9.143950 10.093576 11.123895 12.328498
2025-11-09 5.623258 6.549139 7.601442 8.890476 10.433032 12.227196 14.482915
2025-11-16 4.756732 5.811891 7.078208 8.720111 10.807428 13.391961 16.864729
2025-11-23 4.128396 5.260369 6.685625 8.629802 11.240362 14.663632 19.557144
2025-11-30 3.729150 4.935494 6.522144 8.789981 11.994332 16.429894 23.157539
2025-12-07 3.325176 4.548670 6.220507 8.710888 12.393668 17.747143 26.320298
2025-12-14 2.955750 4.162479 5.867967 8.503796 12.564821 18.736850 29.127975
2025-12-21 2.692038 3.894538 5.648245 8.453955 12.947902 20.074943 32.669140
2025-12-28 2.532672 3.760487 5.606463 8.661353 13.745451 22.157497 37.765179
2026-01-04 2.383817 3.625128 5.544609 8.822693 14.477887 24.218072 43.153986
2026-01-11 2.225606 3.458381 5.413839 8.850648 14.978873 25.934070 48.185124
2026-01-18 2.063995 3.270403 5.228730 8.761943 15.256280 27.273143 52.700658
2026-01-25 1.908924 3.082584 5.031142 8.638300 15.470457 28.553792 57.401180
2026-02-01 1.767137 2.905021 4.834796 8.495529 15.630944 29.754343 62.166922
2026-02-08 1.646533 2.753586 4.669955 8.392364 15.853858 31.110246 67.540813
2026-02-15 1.546022 2.628860 4.541055 8.342371 16.174701 32.713179 73.804797
2026-02-22 1.486728 2.572551 4.530675 8.519888 16.983935 35.484340 83.470960
2026-03-01 1.400986 2.460924 4.407341 8.458050 17.275678 37.143868 90.686394
2026-03-08 1.306991 2.326719 4.229805 8.266590 17.259017 38.086978 96.211362
2026-03-15 1.238973 2.236279 4.128893 8.223818 17.568288 39.847459 104.366901
2026-03-22 1.203861 2.206118 4.143507 8.428349 18.472291 43.209528 117.913351
2026-03-29 1.165997 2.167569 4.137720 8.587029 19.288044 46.481705 132.022663
2026-04-05 1.117649 2.104605 4.076750 8.615555 19.790016 49.012421 144.465061